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Showing posts from November, 2016

Soggy Monday

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Monday looks soggy, regardless of the data you choose. If you work outside on Monday afternoon, it will be raining. If you wait in car lines across Region 8, it will be wet Monday afternoon. Here are my thoughts as of Saturday morning: Clouds increase on Sunday. Spotty showers start Monday morning. Coverage and intensity increases at lunch time on Monday. Rain ends by 10:00 PM for most locations. 1-3" of rainfall is possible. Severe weather threat is LOW, but most likely between 5:00-8:00 PM if any severe storms develop. With so many leaves falling, street flooding is possible because of clogged storm drains. I'm off work for a few days, but Rachel and Justin have you covered. I'm in town and on standby in case some of the storms don't behave. Ryan

First Alert: Heavy Rain Event Possible

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It just stopped raining at my house and now we are looking ahead to the next storm to impact Region 8. Last night we picked up 1.05" at my house and we could see MUCH more Monday Night into Tuesday! Here are my bullet points, as of nowt: Main threat will be flash flooding Severe weather threat is very low. Models are in agreement that SOMEONE will get heavy rainfall, but amounts and locations are still questionable. Timing is Monday Night into Tuesday. A front is going to hang up across Region 8 early next week and 2 lows will move across the front to give us some heavy rainfall. Data has varying amounts, but all agree that many parts of Region 8 receive a lot of rain. Here are two of the most widely used models showing the rainfall amounts:  We will watch this storm system closely and give you updates throughout the holiday weekend. Tune in between your feasts! Have a great Thanksgiving! God Bless and be safe! -Ryan

Coldest Morning In 200-250 Days! But Something Looked Odd...

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If you looked at the temperature map this morning, you may have noticed that some areas were warmer than others."Oddly" the warmer spots were the "higher elevations". We have grown up always knowing that mountains are colder than valleys. The higher elevations are typically colder due to difference in pressure and lapse rates. What we saw this morning was a different mechanism. Actually, we could see TWO mechanisms making for warmer areas. First was the warmer temperatures we saw on Crowley's Ridge. Temperatures ranged from 35-38° along the ridge, while areas around the ridge were 27-31°. This was some of the coldest air in 255 days! The reason that the ridge was warmer was because colder air is "heavier" and flows off of the ridge into the flat lands. There is not enough of an elevation drop to have the air heat up through compressional heating. Therefore, the ridge is warmer. I also think vegetation along the ridge is a factor to be considered. Most ...