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Showing posts from March, 2018

Easter Sunday: Cold With Showers

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Easter Sunday is always one of those days that people pay closer attention to the forecast. Don't be caught off guard on this Easter Sunday! It's going to be cold with the chance of rain. A couple of points to focus on: The high temperature will "officially" be in the 50s, but that will be shortly after midnight and before sunrise. Most of the daytime hours will be in the 40s. We will likely have showers before the sun comes up, spotty through the day, and  more rain Easter night. Rainfall amounts on Easter Sunday will range from 0.50-1.00". Here's a look at temperatures at MIDNIGHT on Easter morning. Notice that we will be in the 50s, but colder air is plunging into Region 8: By sunrise, we will all be in the 40s... even low 40s. Some might even be in the 30s! That would be a cold rain!: By lunchtime, you can clearly see the cold front's position: Not only will it be cold, we will also have some showers. Here's the rain before sunrise: Here's the...

Wind & Rain Threats This Week

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Good Sunday evening, everyone! I've been out of town for a few days. I was in Dallas, TX for Raycom Media meetings. Then, was I in Little Rock for AAU basketball. It feels good to dig into some data again this evening! As you may have seen, the StormTEAM is specifically highlighting Tuesday and Wednesday this week. As we have mentioned, we are now making it easy for you to glance at the 7 Day Forecast to see the greatest threats to Region 8. It's our commitment to give you the FIRST WARNING of the possibilities of any watches, warnings, or advisories: We have some showers and storms on radar this evening and we have some in the forecast for Monday. But, here are the reasons why we are a little more concerned about Tuesday and Wednesday: The WIND on Tuesday could have gusts up to 40 mph. This is not from thunderstorms, but from the pressure differences across Region 8. The RAIN on Tuesday night and Wednesday could prompt some flood watches. Rain totals for Tuesday night into Wed...

Why Freeze Watches and Warnings Are Confusing...

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In late winter and early spring, we occasionally have freeze watches and warnings issued for Region 8. They are issued when freezing temperatures are expected after the start of the growing season. In late autumn and early winter, they are issued for the first few freezes of the season. Here's the problem: We have 4 National Weather Service offices that cover the counties in Region 8. Each one has different criteria for a "Freeze Warning", so on a night like tonight, the freeze warning map looks like this: As you can see, the NWS in Memphis has issued a Freeze Warning for about 1/3 of Region 8. the NWS in Paducah, Springfield, and Little Rock did not issue a Freeze Warning. If I showed the viewers the map above on TV, some people would think they are not going to freeze tonight because their county is not turquoise. In reality, most of Region 8 will be at or below freezing on Wednesday morning. Therefore, you will not see me showing the map above on TV tonight. My job is ...