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Showing posts from December, 2017

Winter COLD is here, but what about SNOW?

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There is no denying that winter has come to Region 8. It is COLD on this Christmas night. We have even had some flurries that have covered up some car hoods! @hunterhope24 sent me this pic on Twitter from Piggott: While flurries is nice to see for winter lovers, many people are wanting a real snow. Over the next few weeks, it's going to be COLD. Not just below freezing, but possibly in the single digits for many areas. This maps shows the COLD air plunging in for New Year's Day: So, with all of this cold air in place... will we see any moisture? Some model runs say yes... some say no. If ANY disturbance moves through, it runs the chance to give us wintry weather because we are going to be so cold. The latest run of the GFS model (American) says it will be snowy on New Year's Eve: Don't get excited yet though... the run before it, just showed flurries. The models are not agreement, but it is a pattern that supports "something" happening. If we make it through ...

More Rain Coming Tuesday Night

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We had some much needed rain across Region 8 last night, but much more is needed to break the drought. Here are some of the rainfall reports from last night: Jonesboro: 0.43 Jonesboro at Hilltop: 0.70" Brookland 0.47 Paragould: 0.44 Walnut Ridge: 0.53" Pocahontas: 0.38" Marmaduke 0.53" New port: 0.53" Pollard" 0.36" Trumann: 0.45" Ripley County, North End: 0.28" Southside Batesville: 0.67", also a report of 0.64" Earle: 1.27" Walcott: 1.00" Agnos: 0.50" Kennett 0.32" Ravenden Springs: 1.03" Ash Flat 0.46" Cherokee Village at 0.45" More rain is coming! The forecast has drastically ramped up for rainfall on Tuesday night. Just a couple of days ago, most of the week looked dry. As data started changing, we have adjusted our forecast. The NAM model has been the most aggressive with the rain on Tuesday night. Here's what radar could look like by 10PM on Tuesday night: As of right now, the southern ...

CHRISTMAS?: Long Range Forecast!

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As I type this, we are seeing a chilly morning across Region 8, but it is not "abnormally" cold. In fact, we should be ABOVE average on our highs over the next couple of days before a BRIEF cool down. This map shows the areas that will be "warmer" and "colder" than average. This first map is for Monday: After the cold front moves through, we briefly see temperatures go BELOW average: By the weekend, most of the country goes ABOVE average! So, the overall trend over the next 10 days is above average temperatures, but very dry. Next weekend looks very warm, with some parts of Region 8 near 70: Also, the 10 day rainfall totals do not look good for those needing rain: BUT, What about CHRISTMAS? Well, we are still more than 2 weeks out, but there are some signs of a BLAST of cold air, right before Christmas. The GFS model has a big drop in temperatures on the 22nd and 23rd... and even some LIGHT precipitation. The numbers I circled on the right help us determin...