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I'm up early this morning to watch a few storms that have been severe. While these storms are loud and are waking a people up too early on a Saturday morning, they are not as bad as what we are expecting tonight. Here are some bullet points: The morning storms should be out of Region 8 by 8AM The rest of the daytime hours look mostly dry.  The air becomes VERY unstable through the day. A line of severe storms will start moving into our northern counties about 7:00 PM The line will be moving through the heart of Region 8 about 10:00. Here's how radar might look about 7:00 PM: By 9:00 PM, the line is moving through with high winds, lots of lightning, hail... and the low chance of a tornado: As I mentioned, the air is going to be VERY unstable. CAPE measures the amount of energy available for the storms. This is the highest I have seen it this year: CAPE is not the only ingredient needed for severe weather. Other parameters are not as great, but still enough to support a severe we...

First off, I think we are going to salvage a lot of the weekend. If you have outdoor plans, you will want to watch the TIMING of the storms, but don't cancel your plans. Here are the bullet points as of today (5/24/17): A few spotty storms are possible on Friday evening, but we are not too worried about these storms and anything that develops should not last long. On Saturday, most of the day will be dry. The greatest threat is Saturday EVENING. Greatest threat: STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. Hail is possible Tornado threat is LOW. A lot of Sunday AFTERNOON may be dry.  Memorial Day looks dry. So, let's dig into some specifics. Remember, we are still FOUR days out and this forecast may change a little. As of now, here's where I think the greatest risk will be on Saturday and Saturday night: For us in Region 8, we may see several hours of dry weather on Saturday. The latest data shows that most of the rain between 1PM and 7PM will be north and west of us: Later Saturday evening and Sa...

I'm going to summarize SOME of the rivers in Region 8: Current River: At Doniphan, it is still rising and is 6 feet over the record high. Forecast is for it to rise about 4 more feet today and crest. This water flows south and will greatly impact Randolph and Clay Counties. This river flows into the Black River. Black River: The water is almost at a record high in Poplar Bluff. It's expected to crest today at 22' and start going down. The levels at Pocahontas are probably the most concerning. The water is rising and is expected to be at MAJOR flood stage Tuesday night. Record breaking flooding is expected by Friday morning. If this happens, it would be worse than 2011. Remember, the behavior of the water may be different because of new levees. The Black River at Black Rock is already at MAJOR flood stage and rising. It's expected to crest today, but stay in major flood stage through the week. Eleven Point River: The Eleven Point River feeds the Spring River, which feeds...