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It's several days out, so DO NOT ALTER PLANS YET. With that said though, I know a lot of people are making outdoor plans for Memorial Day Weekend. There is a tropical disturbance that is very far away from us right now. Some data is suggesting that the disturbance will move inland this weekend and could impact Region 8. Here are my thoughts right now: Don't cancel plans yet. It's still early and things can change. However, consider a Plan B. Wind is not looking to be an issue. The best chance of rain looks to be on Monday. Pockets of heavy rain possible. So, let's dive into some data. The maps below show the "precipitable water" in the atmosphere. Think of it as how much water there is available if it all rained out of the clouds. I want you to focus on the pinkish-salmon color. That's the deep, tropical moisture. This is the last run of the Euro model: Notice where the moisture is on Wednesday: By Friday, it starts moving inland, possibly as a tropical de...

If you look at the Jonesboro records for May, there are a couple of days that may stand out. On two days, the record snowfall for Jonesboro is a "trace". But, there is a flaw in the record systems... Hail is counted as snow. Let me explain.... If you look back at the two years in question, you will notice that it was NOT cold enough to snow, but there were thunderstorms. Thunderstorms with hail! Here's 1949. Notice the comments: Here's 1955. Notice the hail reports: So, if you ever see "snow" being reported in climate logs during the spring and summer months. It might have been hail! Ryan