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Showing posts from November, 2018

It Snowed Before Thanksgiving in 1976 and LOOK at the Winter Afterwards!!

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**CORRECTION** to blog below: There WAS a big snow in January of 1977 that is not logged in the Jonesboro data. Arkansas native, Kevin Myatt, of The Roanoke Times, read the blog and recalled a big snow. Sure enough, I checked the Paragould log and found this: Original blog: Nothing. That's right, it snowed 2" on November 14th, 1976 and we had no measurable snow or ice in the winter that followed. A lot of people have asked me over the past couple of days if last week's snow means that we will have a lot of snow this winter. My answer... NO. (still is "no") However, like my winter outlook stated... I still think we will have some big swings in temperatures. I also think we will have some weeks that are VERY cold. I just don't think the snowfall will be above average. Here's what the winter of 1976-1977 looked like: Have a great Saturday! Ryan

Upper-Level Low, Maybe Some Snow, Weatherman's Woes.

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The above map shows the upper-level low that will be parked over us on Thursday morning. This low may bring snow to Region 8 as early as Wednesday evening. I've seen this type of setup bring 6" of snow to one county, while leaving another county with nothing. These are fun! Here are my bullet points, as of Tuesday morning: I'm confident it is going to snow over parts of Region 8 Wednesday night into Thursday morning. I'm also confident that it will melt quickly on Thursday, with temperatures going above 32°. Extreme NE Arkansas and SE Missouri have the best chance of decent accumulation. Big snowflakes Wet snow "Sticky" snow. This means that it should stick to the trees. I'm a little worried about trees that still have a lot of their leaves, like Bradford Pear trees.  We will have the Central Nissan StormTRACKER out on Wednesday night and Thursday morning.  We will be in the 50s on Friday. So, let's dive into the maps! I am starting to get a little mo...

The Winter Outlook Nobody Will Share: Winter 2018-2019 in Region 8

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Everyone loves to SHARE a winter forecast that shows lots of snow and very cold air. So, this forecast won't get the "shares" that others have seen over the past few weeks because I don't think this winter will be abnormally bad for Region 8. I typically wait until the first part of November to really nail down my winter forecast. I've had some pretty good success of long-term winter forecasting for Region 8, with one year being a total flop. So, this forecast will be a little different than some you have read over the past few weeks because I'm not going to tell you that it will snow all winter. As I've mentioned in the past, I like to look at the current pattern and compare it to winter seasons of the past. I typically look at December, January, and February... but this year I also took a closer look at March. Most of the forecast is very general, but I like to get specific on a few things, just for fun! To start, here's our average snowfall each win...

Severe Threat This Evening

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The greatest threat for severe weather is going to be in Tennessee and Mississippi. We still have a LOW risk of severe weather over parts of Region 8, but most of the severe weather will be just east and southeast of Region 8. We still think that most of the storms will be out of our area by 7PM. Follow Twitter feed for more updates. Ryan

Severe Weather Possible on Monday (Saturday Update)

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There is a chance of severe weather on Monday. While not all of the ingredients are coming together, enough are coming together that we need to be on guard. Here are the bullet points as of this morning: It's going to rain on Sunday (tomorrow), but that is not a big concern.  Monday: We have a MEDIUM threat for severe weather. TIMING is 5:00 PM to 11:00 PM (this may change) Greatest threat is high wind. While a lower threat, hail and tornadoes are very possible. Slightly greater threat may stay south of Region 8. Check the settings on your Region 8 weather app to make sure you have the location and alert settings set to your preference. Check the batteries in your weather radio. There is no need to cancel plans, just have a plan in case the storms get severe. We have some showers and storms that will be moving through on Sunday, but the environment will not be conducive for severe weather. Monday, the instability increases. At this time, it does not get outrageously high, but that ...